Get ready for some intense action as twelve nations battle it out in the UEFA EURO 2024 play-off semi-finals. With only six of them making it through to the final stage, expect twists, turns and high drama. We've got you covered with previews of all six games and the best betting tips to help you win big. **Poland vs Estonia** Poland and Estonia meet in the play-off semi-final for Euro 2024 after missing out on direct qualification through the group phase. The winner will advance to face either Wales or Finland in the final, with a spot in the tournament at stake. Estonia are massive underdogs going into this clash against a Poland team who are unbeaten in their last 20 home EURO qualifying matches (W15, D5), and have the lethal Robert Lewandowski to bank on. The Barcelona striker has scored 7 goals in his last 8 games and will be expected to fire his nation into the playoffs final. **KEY STAT:** Estonia are winless in their last 11 games (D2, L9) **VERDICT:** The last time Estonia won a game was March 2023, and our bet of the day is for that streak to continue against a strong Poland side.
**Bosnia vs Ukraine** Bosnia & Herzegovina are on the verge of their first major tournament appearance since the 2014 World Cup. They finished 5th in their qualifying group on the back of three consecutive losses and will be keenly aware of their underdog status for this game. Playing at home may not offer the required boost, as their record in Zenica could be better. They have managed just one win in their last four matches at home, and only 2 wins in their last 10 games. Ukraine have been in much better form recently, with 1 defeat in 9 games coming into this clash. That run includes an impressive 1-1 draw with England and a 3-1 win over Malta. They only missed out on direct qualification via goal difference following a 0-0 draw with Italy in their last group game, and the Eastern Europeans will be confident of winning in Bosnia after doing so (2-0) when both sides met in Zenica in 2021. **KEY STAT:** Bosnia have collected more cards than their opponents in 4 of their last 5 internationals. **VERDICT:** Due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, Serhiy Rebrov’s men continue to play all matches on foreign soil. This makes facing two more road games less daunting. Furthermore, Ukraine are in better form, and star man Mykhailo Mudryk, the last player to score a competitive goal for Ukraine, is finding his feet at Chelsea (2 goals in his last 4 games). Our bet prediction is a narrow win for Ukraine.
**Wales vs Finland** Wales are another side with a formidable recent home record in EURO qualifying – they have lost just one of their last 14 (W10 D3) and are four games unbeaten against Finland, dating back to 2009. Despite their fine home form, recent reports suggest that boss Rob Page could be at risk of losing his job if the country fails to qualify for this summer's Euros, which would be only their second major competition since 2016. Nonetheless, the play-off format has been favorable to him in the past, with Wales seeing off Austria and Ukraine in 2022 to reach just their second-ever World Cup. Both fixtures were at the Cardiff City Stadium, where they’ve only lost once in Euro qualifying since March 2011 (W10, D4).Finland face an uphill battle as they head to the Welsh capital aiming to secure just their second major international tournament appearance. Markku Kanerva's side concluded their qualifying campaign with two consecutive victories, providing a confidence boost ahead of this crucial encounter, albeit against far weaker opposition in Northern Ireland and San Marino. However, they have failed to defeat Wales since 2009 (L2, D1), and that run is unlikely to end here. **KEY STAT:** Wales striker Kieffer Moore has scored 6 goals in his last 9 appearances since signing for Championship side Ipswich Town and could carry that recent form into this clash. **VERDICT:** Wales are tough to beat at home, where they have scored 7 goals in their last 3 games, and should have just enough to edge this one. Our football prediction is a Wales win.
**Georgia vs Luxembourg** Despite an underwhelming UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying campaign, Georgia have a chance to secure a spot in the tournament this summer due to their strong performances in the UEFA Nations League. With home advantage on their side, Willy Sagnol’s men will face Luxembourg in Thursday’s qualifying semi-final, aiming to advance to the final, where they will take on Greece or Kazakhstan. They’d be wise not to take their opponents for granted as the hosts have only claimed victory in two of their four previous meetings with Luxembourg (D1, L1). However, they should have some confidence as they are unbeaten in three home games (W2, D1) since being battered 7-1 by Spain in September 2023. Luxembourg arrive in Tbilisi enjoying the greatest period in their footballing history. They amassed an astonishing five wins during UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying, more than in their previous six Euro qualifying cycles combined. Although those results weren’t enough to secure direct qualification, impressive displays in the Nations League have given them another shot at reaching a first-ever major tournament. Luc Holtz’s team will certainly approach this game with confidence, having lost only one of their last nine competitive away matches (W5, D3). **KEY STAT:** Georgia have found the net in each of their last 7 home games. **VERDICT:** Georgia will have the best player on the pitch, Napoli’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. The 23-year-old has scored in each of his last three starts for Georgia, and our bet prediction is for him to lead his nation to a narrow win over Luxembourg at home.
**Greece vs Kazakhstan** Greece and Kazakhstan lock horns in Athens with their respective UEFA Nations League performances earning them one more shot at partaking in the summer’s finals. Georgia or Luxembourg await in the play-off final for one of these two sides, and Greece should be confident given their 100% H2H record (W3). The hosts have certainly been boosted by the arrival of Gus Poyet, as they have now won 11 of their 19 games since he arrived in 2022 (D2, L6). Greece's success is often built on a sturdy defense, with nine of their 11 victories accompanied by a clean sheet, and another shutout would bring them closer to their first Euro finals appearance since 2012. Kazakhstan have never played at a major tournament, and after winning their UEFA Nations League Group C3 at a canter, they’ve earned a second shot at qualifying for a first-ever Euros. Although they’re ranked 100th in the world by FIFA, their recent form tells a different story. They have been remarkably successful, winning seven of their last ten international matches (L3). **KEY STAT:** Greece have lost just twice in 20 home games (Netherlands 0-1, Spain 0-1). **VERDICT:** While the visitors can be trusted to put up a fight, they will not have enough to stop Poyet’s men who should win to nil. Take advantage of our betting tips by backing Greece to win and keep a clean sheet.
**Israel vs Iceland** Israel take on Iceland for the final spot in Group E alongside Belgium, Slovakia, and Romania. Despite their designation as the home team thanks to an impressive UEFA Nations League group win, the game will be played in Hungary due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This eliminates any home advantage, setting the stage for an intriguing matchup. Over the past year, Israel's performances have been inconsistent, with only four wins in their last eleven games, (D3, L4). However, they have never been defeated by Iceland in their three previous encounters, (D2, L1). Iceland now face the challenge of tipping the balance of these draws in their favor, knowing that a win is crucial to take them to the qualification final against Ukraine or Bosnia-Herzegovina. Confidence might not be at its peak for Iceland, given their recent performances. They suffered defeats in their last two competitive matches, both by two-goal margins. One of these losses was a 4-2 reverse to came against potential group opponents Slovakia. **KEY STAT:** 11 of Iceland’s last 13 Euro qualifiers have produced goals in both halves. **VERDICT:** Key Age Hareide’s men have won only one of their last nine competitive games on their travels (D3, L5), with all five losses during that sequence coming by multiple-goal margins, and our bet prediction is another defeat on the road.
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